Risk – Smart Risks > Safe Stalls
- Arnie Strebe

- Jul 28
- 2 min read
The Psychology of Safe Stalls
Fear hides as logic. Metrics beat mission. Consensus slows momentum. These patterns create the illusion of movement—without any real progress.
5 Signs Your Org is in a Safe Stall
1. Endless debate with no decision
2. Pilot projects that never scale
3. Innovation committees with no power
4. Low urgency around new ideas
5. High performers leaving “to chase something more exciting”
Reframing Risk: It’s Not the Enemy
Smart risk is intentional exposure to downside in pursuit of upside. It’s not ego—it’s strategy. The cost of inaction is often higher than a failed experiment.
The Risk Equation I Use
RISK = (Potential Impact × Probability of Success) – Cost of Inaction
Great leaders factor in the price of standing still.
The “Smart Risk” Checklist
1. Does this align with our strategy?
2. Is the upside worth it?
3. Can we survive the worst-case?
4. Is there a rollback plan?
5. Can we test small?
6. Who owns this?
7. What’s the cost of doing nothing?
Story from the Field: The Risk That Built a Market
A software company took a calculated leap into government sales. One pilot. One advisor. One brave move.
12 months later: tripled revenue. Same team. Smarter risk.
Leadership Mindsets That Enable Risk
1. Permission to Experiment – Normalize safe failure.
2. Bias for Action – Move fast on small bets.
3. Celebrate Courage – Reward behavior, not just outcomes.
Your Risk Review
1. What bold idea are you sitting on?
2. Why haven’t you moved?
3. What’s the cost of inaction?
4. Who needs permission to pitch?
5. What’s one step forward this month?
What Happens When You Avoid Risk Too Long
You lose talent. Innovation. Momentum. And agility. When you finally try to shift, it’s too late and too painful.
Final Word
Risk is the price of leadership. But when done right, it’s the bridge to your next breakthrough.
Find the bold move. Take the first step.
Smart risks beat safe stalls—every time.
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